abcd_z comments on Applied Bayes' Theorem: Calculating the probability that she's over me. Could somebody check my work? TT_TT - Less Wrong
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She would always get back to me within a short amount of time when she found out she missed my call. The only times that hasn't happened was when the phone glitched and she was unaware that I'd tried to contact her.
If anything, 10% is a little high.