thomblake comments on Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) - Less Wrong
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I'm pretty sure that was handily discussed in An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes's Theorem and A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation.
Ehhcks-cellent!
Fair point, and it was EY's essay that showed me the connection. But keep in mind, the point of the essay is, "Bayesian inference is right, look how Popper is a crippled version of it."
My point in saying "my" meme is different: "Popper and falsificationism are on the right track -- don't shy away from the concepts entirely just because they're not sufficiently general." It's a warning against taking the failures of Popper to mean that any version of falsificationism is severely flawed.