Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

Robin_Hanson2 comments on Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) - Less Wrong

110 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 28 July 2007 10:59PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (246)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Robin_Hanson2 29 July 2007 03:00:35PM 1 point [-]

For any instrumental activity, done to achieve some other end, it makes sense to check that specific examples are in fact achieving the intended end.

Most beliefs may have as their end the refinement of personal decisions. For such beliefs it makes sense not only to check whether they effect your personal experience, but also whether they effect any decisions you might make; beliefs could effect experience without mattering for decisions.

On the other hand, some beliefs may have as their end effecting the experiences or decisions of other creatures, such as in the far future. And you may care about effects that are not experienced by any creatures.

Comment author: [deleted] 20 September 2015 06:20:05AM 0 points [-]

For any instrumental activity, done to achieve some other end, it makes sense to check that specific examples are in fact achieving the intended end.

Only if you have reason to believe your naive pattern matching of expectations to observation isn't already updating your expectations about instrumental activity.

Otherwise, your ''privileging the hypothesis'' that you are in fact wrong.

It's kind of like smoothing in machine learning. It will have costs and benefits.