wedrifid comments on Belief in Belief - Less Wrong

66 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 29 July 2007 05:49PM

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Comment author: wedrifid 08 February 2010 01:50:44AM 0 points [-]

I've encountered people who insist that prayers have the power to change events, but I don't think this is a reasonable view.

Believing in a specific God (who, for example, promises to answer prayers) is an unreasonable view. Believing in the same God but also believing that prayers are unable to change events is even more unreasonable. It's just more practical.

Comment author: byrnema 08 February 2010 03:00:03AM 0 points [-]

I'd like to clarify that I've not stuck my neck out that any beliefs are reasonable. I said I often encounter beliefs that seem much more reasonable.

Believing in the same God but also believing that prayers are unable to change events is even more unreasonable.

Even more? Why?

Comment author: wedrifid 08 February 2010 03:34:02AM *  3 points [-]

Even more? Why?

Roughly speaking:

p(A) = 0.0001

p(A && !A) = 0

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