PECOS-9 comments on Useful Questions Repository - Less Wrong

23 Post author: Qiaochu_Yuan 25 July 2013 02:58AM

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Comment author: Alicorn 25 July 2013 05:21:19PM 23 points [-]

Not-A for publicly declaring that one hates homosexual behavior isn't "publicly declaring that one loves homosexual behavior". It's just "not publicly declaring that one hates homosexual behavior". Your A-or-not-A has to cover all the possibilities, including remaining silently at home, awkwardly evading questions about homosexuality, making positive statements about heterosexuality but none directly about homosexuality, etc.

Comment author: PECOS-9 25 July 2013 10:08:32PM *  7 points [-]

Just to finish your thought: Because of this, it's possible that "A" and "the opposite of A" actually can both raise your estimate of p(B), even though "A" and "not A" can't, as BlueSun stated.