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ikrase comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 25, chapter 96 - Less Wrong
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It doesn't actually say that it's from Draco, and Quirrelmort would probably have a snake patronus if he somehow managed to cast it after his conversation with Harry.
What probabilities do you assign on it being from Draco and on it being from Quirrelmort?
Something like 60 - 40 or so.
Heh. Mine are something like 95% and 1%. I'd actually consider it more likely for it to be Lucius's patronus, than it to be Quirrel's.
And here is a PredictionBook link.
EDIT: And one for the second prediction.