Qiaochu_Yuan comments on Alternative to Bayesian Score - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Coscott 27 July 2013 07:26PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (29)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Qiaochu_Yuan 29 July 2013 06:38:56AM *  1 point [-]

It's meaningless to talk about optimizing epistemic rationality without talking about your utility function. There are a lot of questions you could get better at answering. Which ones you want to answer depends on what kind of decisions you want to make, which depends on what you value.

Comment author: jsteinhardt 29 July 2013 03:54:11PM 0 points [-]

But probabilities are a useful latent variable in the reasoning process, and it can be worthwhile instrumentally to try to have accurate beliefs, as this may help out in a wide variety of situations that we cannot predict in advance. So there is still the question of which beliefs it is most important to make more accurate.

Also, I believe the OP is trying to write code for a variant of the calibration game, so it is somewhat intrinsically necessary for him to score probabilities directly.