jsteinhardt comments on Alternative to Bayesian Score - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Coscott 27 July 2013 07:26PM

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Comment author: jsteinhardt 29 July 2013 03:54:11PM 0 points [-]

But probabilities are a useful latent variable in the reasoning process, and it can be worthwhile instrumentally to try to have accurate beliefs, as this may help out in a wide variety of situations that we cannot predict in advance. So there is still the question of which beliefs it is most important to make more accurate.

Also, I believe the OP is trying to write code for a variant of the calibration game, so it is somewhat intrinsically necessary for him to score probabilities directly.