army1987 comments on Rationality Quotes August 2013 - Less Wrong

7 Post author: Vaniver 02 August 2013 08:59PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 05 August 2013 05:35:20PM 4 points [-]

There was only one Ramanujan

In what reference class?

Comment author: gwern 05 August 2013 07:45:55PM *  11 points [-]

I chose Ramanujan as my example because mathematics is extremely meritocratic, as proven by how he went from poor/middle-class Indian on the verge of starving to England on the strength of his correspondence & papers. If there really were countless such people, we would see many many examples of starving farmers banging out some impressive proofs and achieving levels of fame somewhat comparable to Einstein; hence the reference class of peasant-Einsteins must be very small since we see so few people using sheer brainpower to become famous like Ramanujan.

(Or we could simply point out that with average IQs in the 70s and 80s, average mathematician IQs closer to 140s - or 4 standard deviations away, even in a population of billions we still would only expect a small handful of Ramanujans - consistent with the evidence. Gould, of course, being a Marxist who denies any intelligence, would not agree.)

Comment author: [deleted] 06 August 2013 10:30:19AM 3 points [-]

Okay, maybe there aren't other examples quite as good as him, but a few of these people surely come close.

Or we could simply point out that with average IQs in the 70s and 80s, average mathematician IQs closer to 140s - or 4 standard deviations away, even in a population of billions we still would only expect a small handful of Ramanujans - consistent with the evidence.

Yes, but I'm not sure all of the populations working in cotton fields and sweatshops had such a low average IQ. (And Gould just said “people”, not “innumerable people” or something like that.)

Comment author: gwern 06 August 2013 09:54:18PM 5 points [-]

Most of those people either seem to come from middle-class or better backgrounds, fall well below Einstein, or both (I mean, Eliezer Yudkowsky?)

Comment author: jasonsaied 07 August 2013 05:35:05AM *  4 points [-]

Doesn't your observation that most successful autodidacts come from financially stable backgrounds SUPPORT the hypothesis that intelligent individuals from low-income backgrounds are prevented from becoming successful?

With the facts you've highlighted, two conclusions may be drawn: either most poor people are stupid, or the aforementioned "starving farmers" don't have the time or the resources to educate themselves or "[bang] out some impressive proofs," on account of the whole "I'm starving and need to grow some food" thing. I don't see how such people would be able to afford books to learn from or time to spend reading them.

Comment author: gwern 11 August 2013 04:58:31PM 4 points [-]

Doesn't your observation that most successful autodidacts come from financially stable backgrounds SUPPORT the hypothesis that intelligent individuals from low-income backgrounds are prevented from becoming successful?

No, it doesn't; see my other comment. I was criticizing the list as a bizarre selection which did not include anyone remotely like Einstein.

I don't see how such people would be able to afford books to learn from

How did Ramanujan afford books?

The answer to the autodidact point is to point out that once one has proven one's Einstein-level talent, one is integrated into the meritocratic system and no longer considered an autodidact.

Comment author: DanArmak 16 August 2013 08:09:12PM -1 points [-]

(And Gould just said “people”, not “innumerable people” or something like that.)

Did you mean innumerate people?

Comment author: [deleted] 16 August 2013 09:23:06PM *  3 points [-]

I meant ‘lots of people’, not ‘people who cannot do arithmetic’. looks word up EDIT: Huh, looks like that was the right word after all.

Comment author: DanArmak 16 August 2013 10:38:00PM 2 points [-]

Sorry, then. Your phrasing sounded wrong to me, but I was wrong.

Comment author: Document 16 August 2013 10:08:21PM 1 point [-]

Will you update your post after looking the word up confirms that it means what you thought it did?

Comment author: [deleted] 16 August 2013 10:20:28PM 2 points [-]

I was going to but I forgot to. Thank you.