Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

Rixie comments on Focus Your Uncertainty - Less Wrong

33 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 August 2007 08:49PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (16)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Rixie 25 January 2013 02:19:19AM 1 point [-]

It's about how if you slide the probability of, say, bond yeilds going up, to be more likely, that makes the probablity of bonds yeilds going down or staying the same less likely. We can't say, "I think that there is a 40% chance of bond yeilds going up, and a 70% chance of bond yeilds going down or staying the same."