Also, I'm curious if someone has an (independent) answer for the questions I posed Randall Parker in this reply, especially the last one:
http://www.futurepundit.com/archives/009032.html#reply20130803061511
Alexander, probably you could select for intelligence, using the data from the Rietveld et al study. But if you made 10 embryos and picked the one with the highest predicted IQ the increase in average offspring IQ would be under (at most, if one assumed the Rietveld results were fully solid) 3 points. And since the process has not yet been routinized, you would have to undertake serious legwork, bringing together techniques from different labs. And note that the Rietveld results are only a few months old.
But bigger genetic studies should multiply the impact of embryo selection by at least several fold over the decade.
The article by Robert Sparrow:
Quote:
The possibility was discussed in MIRI's "Uncertain Future" toy forecasting model back in 2009, and the analysis formulated a few years before that.
ETA: And further discussed in James Miller's recent book, "Singularity Rising."