Can you expand a little on how you would "try to find out what elite common sense would make of [your] information and analysis"? Is the following a good example of how to do it?

• Imagine there's an economic policy issue about which most members of the elite (say the top 10% of Ivy League grads) haven't thought, and which they'd have no initial position on.
• All I'm aware of is a theoretical economics argument for position A; I don't know of any counters, arguments on the other side, etc.
• I find as representative a sample of the elite as I can and tell them the argument.
• The vast majority move rapidly to significant confidence in position A.
• I adopt a similar perspective.