snewmark comments on The Proper Use of Doubt - Less Wrong

34 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 06 August 2007 08:29PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (30)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: ChristianKl 30 August 2016 06:09:55PM 0 points [-]

There are some forms of doubts that you can easily reduce by simply adding more observations but not all. Seeing an infinitive amount of white swans doen't help you to completely rule out the black one.

Comment author: snewmark 04 September 2016 07:00:12AM 0 points [-]

MarsColony_in10years: Yeah, thanks. Sorry about the nitpicking.

ChristianKl: I think an infinite number would allow you to rule out the possibility (of a black swan that is). I thought that the problem was simply that we could never get an infinite number of them, but then again: I'm not certain.

Comment author: ChristianKl 04 September 2016 04:49:27PM 0 points [-]

To the extend that the word infinitive makes sense, you can see an infinitive number of white swans without seeing a black swan.