pdf23ds comments on The Proper Use of Doubt - Less Wrong

34 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 06 August 2007 08:29PM

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Comment author: pdf23ds 07 August 2007 04:57:19PM 0 points [-]

Conchis, the path of investigation would have a high probability of changing your current estimate up *or* down (by the same weighted amount), so your current estimate can still be your best guess as an ideal Bayesian while still making the investigation likely to change it to be more accurate.