Dustin comments on [LINK] Cochrane on Existential Risk - Less Wrong
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Comments (21)
No, because we can quantify the risks and costs of those things and make good decisions about their worth.
In other words, if I assume that you intended that, for the sake of your argument, that we have the same amount of knowledge about insurance as we do about these existential risks, then the two arguments seem exactly as clever as each other: neither are terribly clever because they both point out that we need more information and well...duh. (However, see my argument about just how obvious "duh" things actually are.)
If I don't assume that you intended that, for the sake of your isomorphism, that we have the same amount of knowledge about insurance as we do about these existential risks, then the two arguments aren't so isomorphic.
If this is the argument Cochrane is endorsing, I don't support it, but that's not exactly what I got out of his post. Lumifer's reading is closer to what I got.