Lumifer comments on To what degree do you model people as agents? - Less Wrong
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For me that depends on what this "unexpected" is. For example, if I see a car in the next lane and ahead of me start to slightly drift into my lane, my reaction is that I know what this idiot is doing -- he is about to switch lanes and he doesn't see me. On the other hand, if a car far ahead hits the brakes and I don't know why -- there my reaction is "he knows something I don't"...