Put a human with good social skills in a box, expose it to a representative sample of people of various sexualities and reward it when it guesses right; the human brains social functionality is a very powerful specialized Bayesian engine. :p
Alternatively, just take your own brain and expose it to a large representative sample of people of varying sexualities and only check what they were afterwards. Not quite as technically powerful, but more portable and you get some extra metadata.
Thanks for the idea. I like the first version of your proposal better than the second, as it risks zero social penalty for wrong guesses.
I'm currently going through Eliezer's long ("intuitive") explanation of Bayes' theorem (the one with the breast cancer and blue-eggs-with-pearls examples), and from what I was able to understand of it, we would need to find out:
Prior: how many of the total men are gay
Conditionals: how many gay men seem to be gay, and how many straight men seem to be gay
... to reach at the posterior (how many men who seem to be g...
This is a thread where people can ask questions that they would ordinarily feel embarrassed for not knowing the answer to. The previous thread is at close to 500 comments.