philh comments on Probability and radical uncertainty - Less Wrong

11 Post author: David_Chapman 23 November 2013 10:34PM

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Comment author: philh 25 November 2013 02:27:42PM 0 points [-]

which represents your estimated probability that you left something out.

The probability assigned to "none of the above" should be smaller than your probability that you left something out, since "none of the above is true" is a strict subset of "I left out a possibility".

(It's possible I misinterpreted you, so apologies if I'm stating the obvious.)