pnrjulius comments on Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence - Less Wrong

54 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 12 August 2007 08:34PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (108)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Peter_McCluskey 14 August 2007 04:15:03PM 3 points [-]

When you hear someone say "X is not evidence ...", remember that the Bayesian concept of evidence is not the only concept attached to that word. I know my understanding of the word evidence changed as I adopted the Bayesian worldview. My recollection of my prior use of the word is a bit hazy, but it was probably influenced a good deal by beliefs about what a court would admit as evidence.(This is a comment on the title of the post, not on Earl Warren's rationalization).

Comment author: pnrjulius 26 June 2012 10:29:29PM 1 point [-]

That's a good point. And clearly court standards for evidence are not the same as Bayesian standards; in court lots of things don't count that should (like base rate probabilities), and some things count more than they should (like eyewitness testimony).