gwern comments on Rationality Quotes September 2013 - Less Wrong
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His Master's Voice, Stanislaw Lem; p. 106 from the Northwestern University Press 3rd edition, 1999
I like the self-test idea, but this sort of defeatism is kind of, well, self-defeating.
I think it's true. Short of crude measures like stimulants, it does seem to ebb and flow for no obvious reasons. And it's useful to know if you're currently in a doldrum - you can give up forcing yourself to try to work on creative material, and turn to all the usual chores and small tasks that build up.