Dreaded_Anomaly comments on Is Molecular Nanotechnology "Scientific"? - Less Wrong

22 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 20 August 2007 04:11AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (51)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: TheStevenator 31 July 2011 07:24:01PM 0 points [-]

I forget who this commonly used quote is taken from, but I find it useful when discussing potential future technologies with people. "If a celebrated scientist says something is possible he [unfortunately the quote does use only 'he'] is almost certainly right. If he says something is impossible, he is almost certainly wrong."

I, as a lowly college student, would hesitate to call almost anything impossible. Speaking with the benefit of reading lots of dead smart people saying how impossible things that are trivial to us now are, I feel comfortable saying that future technology will likely surprise a lot of us. How surprised we'll be, however, depends on how much we underestimate ourselves and how much we constrain our imaginations.

Comment author: Dreaded_Anomaly 31 July 2011 07:30:40PM 1 point [-]

The quote is Clarke's first law:

When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.