shminux comments on Instinctive Frequentists, the Outside View, and de-Biasing - Less Wrong

38 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 20 September 2013 08:19PM

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Comment author: shminux 20 September 2013 10:08:00PM 19 points [-]

That's quite amazing, really. If, by rephrasing a question, one can remove a bias, then it makes sense to learn to detect poorly phrased questions and to ask better questions of oneself and others. This seems like a cheaper alternative than fighting one's nature with Bayesian debiasing. Or maybe the first step toward it.

Comment author: Sarokrae 21 September 2013 10:29:15AM 2 points [-]

I'm pretty sure this is one of the main areas Prof David Spiegelhalter is trying to cover with experiments like this one. He advises the British government on presenting medical statistics, and his work is worth a read if you want to know about how to phrase statistical questions so people get them more right.