As someone who tends towards wanting to provide such explanations, even as the Devil's advocate, I feel that a significant amount of upvotes makes a reply more "dangerous" to attempt to dismantle in terms of the potential for downvotes received. For example: I feel at though your opinion is widely held and there is a significant potential for my current comment to be downvoted. I may be wrong, but I feel as though the perception that my perception is incorrect itself will tend towards a downvoting, even in the presence of such an explanation written for the very purpose of trying to disable that memetic response. I can easily see a potential for openly challenging the meme to increase the downvote potential of my post, and I suspect that the irony of having predicted well will not be apparent until my comment has already received a significant ratio of downvotes. The logic as I understand it is that this will be interpreted as a plea to not be downvoted, resulting in an aggressive attitude extremely suggestive of being downvoted.

My the same metric, if my present comment does not receive the quality of downvotes I predict, then my analysis is shown to be effectively "wrong." I now have the choice to backspace and avoid the conflict, but I have talked myself into an intense curiosity about the result of this experiment.

Reviewing now, I place a high probability on a general apathy towards deconstructing any part of this message.