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dlthomas comments on Science as Attire - Less Wrong
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So is the conjunction of two contradictory phenomena not zero? I am confused. I believe if that is so the rest of bayes falls apart, no? Bayes requires that you give zero probabilities to contradictions, if you do not then you can be dutch booked, right? It also requires that you give a probability of one to logical tautologies, if you give more or less, then you can also be dutch booked. What am I messing up? Really, please help if you understand.
I expect the problem is not that you are wrong (that's more or less open), but that there has been similar discussion in many places (one is here) on this site and building another tree with pretty much the same starting point doesn't really make sense.
Ah i see. Thanks
(edit): shoud i just take my posts down?
No— it's more helpful if you edit your first comment to say "OK, this is already discussed here", so that if anyone else reads Eliezer's comment and has the same objection as you, they know where to go to discuss it rather than opening another instance of the same comment thread...