Andreas_Giger comments on Open Thread, September 30 - October 6, 2013 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Coscott 30 September 2013 05:18AM

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Comment author: Andreas_Giger comment score below threshold [+] (8 children)

Comment author: Slackson 01 October 2013 09:28:58PM 7 points [-]

Yes, it's a Newcomb-like problem. Anything where one agent predicts another is. People predict other people, with varying degrees of success, in the real world. Ignoring that when looking at decision theories seems silly to me.

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 01:30:21AM 1 point [-]

What do you do in Newcomb's problem if Omega has a 45% chance of mispredicting you?

Comment author: Nate_Gabriel 03 October 2013 08:15:35AM 2 points [-]

Algebra.

Comment author: tgb 03 October 2013 10:21:03PM 0 points [-]

I'd start calling myself Omega Prime and making the reverse prediction to just say I'm smarter than Omega.

Comment author: arundelo 03 October 2013 11:04:51PM 1 point [-]

You'd then have a 55% chance of mispredicting (slightly worse than chance, where the 45% Omega is slightly better than chance).

Comment author: tgb 04 October 2013 08:51:36PM 0 points [-]

Looks like I'd first have to start reading what people write correctly!

Comment author: Andreas_Giger comment score below threshold [+] (1 child)

Andreas_Giger comments on Open Thread, September 30 - October 6, 2013 - Less Wrong

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