Eugine_Nier comments on Should effective altruists care about the US gov't shutdown and can we do anything? - Less Wrong

-2 Post author: Ishaan 01 October 2013 08:24PM

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Comment author: Eugine_Nier 04 October 2013 03:25:00AM 0 points [-]

That's a good question, but in this context, seeing a variety of novel discoveries in the last few years indicates a somewhat successful field.

No, seeing a bunch of novel true discoveries indicates a successful field. However, it's normally hard to independently verify the truth of novel discoveries except in cases where those discoveries have applications.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 04 October 2013 03:43:52AM -1 points [-]

This seems like a nitpick more than a serious remark: obviously one is talking about the true discoveries, and giving major examples of them in biology is not at all difficult. The discovery of RNA interference is in the biochem end of things, while a great number of discoveries have occurred in paleontology as well as using genetics to trace population migrations (both humans and non-humans).

it's normally hard to independently verify the truth of novel discoveries except in cases where those discoveries have applications.

So one question here is, for what types of discoveries is your prior high that the discovery is bogus? And how will you tell? General skepticism probably makes sense for a lot of medical "breakthroughs" but there's a lot of biology other than those.