ShardPhoenix comments on Rationality Quotes October 2013 - Less Wrong

7 [deleted] 05 October 2013 09:02PM

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Comment author: ShardPhoenix 06 October 2013 01:25:35AM 12 points [-]

The interesting part of Moore's Law is the fact that it's even possible. If there was a Moore's Law for the speed of motor vehicles it would soon fail regardless of how hard anyone tried to make it true.

Comment author: [deleted] 06 October 2013 10:40:48PM *  8 points [-]

That's because we're already at to the limits. There was a Moore's Law for the speed of transatlantic ships for about two centuries, and one for transatlantic flights for about half a century. (And I kind-of doubt Moore's Law will last for much longer.)

EDIT: though if you measure them in doubling times rather than in years, I agree that those for vehicles weren't anywhere near as impressive.

Comment author: maia 07 October 2013 08:13:15PM 1 point [-]

It's possible for a while, anyway; we're already reaching certain physical limits, and I suspect Moore's Law in the sense of shrinking silicon transistor sizes will be over in the near-ish future (order ~10 years).

It may just be that we started much further away from the optimum in this case than we did with things like motor vehicles (where there are fairly low limitations based on safety and human reaction times).