selylindi comments on The best 15 words - Less Wrong

12 Post author: apophenia 03 October 2013 09:08AM

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Comment author: selylindi 03 October 2013 02:03:27PM *  1 point [-]

To address your correct criticism, how about we modify apophenia's "15" words to:

• If two things are reliably correlated, there is causation. Either A causes B, B causes A, they have common cause, or they have a common effect you're conditioning on.

A 15-word version is possible but awkward:

• Reliable correlation implies causation: one causes the other, or there’s common cause, or common effect.

Potentially a great deal of complexity is smuggled into the word "reliable".

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Edit: A friend pointed out to me that the above sentences provide unbalanced guidance for intuitions. A more evenly balanced version is:

• Reliable correlation implies causation and unreliable correlation does not.