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Decius comments on A Voting Puzzle, Some Political Science, and a Nerd Failure Mode - Less Wrong
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Are you confusing an observation with a conclusion? I think the only reason I or you disagree with the conclusion is that we don't share the same observation; everything from there on is either logically sound or high-probability.
No, not from what I can see.
What is the failure of thinking that you see, then? "Morality loves me" implies "theism is correct".