bokov comments on Blind Spot: Malthusian Crunch - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (184)
I read somewhere that to calibrate the logistics of getting everyone off Earth, you should consider how much it would cost and how long it would take to load every human onto a passenger jet and fly them all to the same continent. I wish I could find that essay. Long story short, it would take a loooot of resources. So, it probably won't be our eggs in particular getting into more baskets, but at least the eggs of some fellow humans.
I see two outcomes: either there are enough exploitable resources left to rebuild a technological civilization, in which case someone will get back to pursuing superintelligence, or there are not enough exploitable resources left to rebuild a technological civilization in which case we piss away our last days throwing spears and dying of dysentery. Or maybe we evolve into non tool-using creatures like in Galapagos. In any case, the left of the Drake Equation remains at zero. Breaking out of the overshoot/collapse cycle means the risk of going out with a bang, but the alternative is the certainty of going out with a whimper.
As far as x-risk is concerned, we all have the same eggs.