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mwengler comments on Blind Spot: Malthusian Crunch - Less Wrong
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the 10 billion topout is a very close-in result. Based on population distribution right now, a top at 10 followed by at least a little decline is baked in.
However, this says NOTHING about the population and its growth or shrinkage rate 100 years from now. The population distribution used to predict that population hasn't been born yet.