V_V comments on Blind Spot: Malthusian Crunch - Less Wrong
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From the abstract: "The analysis shows that 30 years of historical data compares favorably with key features of a business-as-usual scenario called the “standard run” scenario, which results in collapse of the global system midway through the 21st Century. "
I haven't read the abstract, I have skimmed through the paper itself. As I said, I wasn't particularly impressed.