gwern comments on Blind Spot: Malthusian Crunch - Less Wrong

4 Post author: bokov 18 October 2013 01:48PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (184)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: gwern 23 October 2013 10:52:29PM 3 points [-]

Mm, the way I remembered was that by not diversifying, you were taking on additional uncompensated risk; not diversifying wasn't completely neutral, expected-value wise. (Also, there's obvious ways to guarantee losing money: trade a lot. The fees will kill you.)

Comment author: Lumifer 24 October 2013 12:57:52AM 0 points [-]

Yep, that's what I said -- that you can easily get additional risk by not diversifying.

And the trading fees are outside of EMH -- there are certainly plenty of ways to reliably lose money in the real world, but not in the EMH world.

Comment author: gwern 24 October 2013 01:34:46AM 0 points [-]

Yep, that's what I said -- that you can easily get additional risk by not diversifying.

I said 'uncompensated' risk.

Comment author: Lumifer 24 October 2013 03:17:07AM 1 point [-]

EMH doesn't say anything about uncompensated risks.

To get to risk premium you need something like CAPM or APT which are a different kettle of fish.