V_V comments on Bayesianism for Humans - Less Wrong
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Comments (37)
Actually you can:
Shake a box with a coin you know to be biased. Before you look into the box, your belief for heads is, say, 80%. You expect that is more likely that, when you open the box, your belief will change to 100% heads rather than 0%.
I don't think there is an useful way to patch the statement without making explicit reference to the technical definition of Bayesian belief.