gwern comments on MIRI strategy - Less Wrong

5 Post author: ColonelMustard 28 October 2013 03:33PM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 28 October 2013 08:19:47PM 0 points [-]

Would you be willing to bet on this? I'd be willing to bet 2 of my dollars against 1 of yours, that no AGI will go FOOM in the remainder of the HPMoR story (for a maximum of 200 of my dollars vs 100 of yours)

At the moment I unfortunately don't have enough cash to invest in betting projects.

Additionally I don't know Eliezer personally and there are people on LessWrong that do and which might have access to nonpublic information. As a result it's not a good topic for betting money.

Comment author: gwern 28 October 2013 10:20:01PM *  2 points [-]

At the moment I unfortunately don't have enough cash to invest in betting projects.

Fortunately, that's why we have PredictionBook! Looking through my compilation of predictions (http://www.gwern.net/hpmor-predictions), I see we already have two relevant predictions:

(I've added a new more general one as well.)

Comment author: ChristianKl 29 October 2013 03:26:25AM 0 points [-]

I added my prediction to that.

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