James_Miller comments on Rationality Quotes November 2013 - Less Wrong

5 Post author: malcolmocean 02 November 2013 08:35PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (388)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: James_Miller 01 November 2013 03:19:40PM 37 points [-]

"For my own part,” Ms. Yellen said, “I did not see and did not appreciate what the risks were with securitization, the credit ratings agencies, the shadow banking system, the S.I.V.’s — I didn’t see any of that coming until it happened.” Her startled interviewers noted that almost none of the officials who testified had offered a similar acknowledgment of an almost universal failure.

Economist and likely future chairperson of the Federal Reserve Board Janet Yellen shows the key rationality trait of being able to admit you were wrong.

Comment author: hyporational 07 November 2013 05:47:22AM *  4 points [-]

Alternatively, she thought that kind of a lie would be well received. It's a widely used social skill to admit you were wrong even though you think you weren't.

Comment author: Stabilizer 08 November 2013 08:03:58AM 0 points [-]

Why would she claim she hadn't seen it coming, when it would be have been much more to her benefit if she had claimed that she had seen the crisis coming?

Comment author: zslastman 18 November 2013 09:14:38AM 3 points [-]

That claim a) begs the question of why she didn't say something at the time, or short the stock market, and b) is somewhat cliched anyway.

Comment author: Stabilizer 19 November 2013 04:57:37AM 2 points [-]

I think you nailed it.

Comment author: hyporational 08 November 2013 08:08:43AM *  0 points [-]

Well, I know nothing of her role in what happened, but what you're suggesting is much harder to sell if her past actions and statements contradict it, which I assume is the case here.

Lots of people benefitted from the crisis and the events that preceded it.