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deskglass comments on A Workflow with Spaced Repetition - Less Wrong
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Is that not what SRS like Anki does already? Granted they force you to pick one of 5 categories of difficulty rather than one of 100, but it's basically the same.
Not really. You pick the category after the answer, not before. The categories are supposed to represent effort in remembering the answer, not how lucky you got with your guess.
If you're guessing, mark that card as having been wrong.
In real life, there are probabilities, but in Anki, you should have either "I remember this with certainty," or "I've forgotten this."