Lumifer comments on Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime - Less Wrong

38 Post author: ChrisHallquist 07 November 2013 07:45AM

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Comment author: Lumifer 07 November 2013 05:32:15PM 1 point [-]

There are numerous studies that show that our brain's natural way of thinking out probabilities is in terms of frequencies

Thinking about which probabilities?

Probability is a complex concept. The probability in the sentence "the probability of getting more than 60 heads in 100 fair coin tosses" is a very different beast from the probability in the sentence "the probability of rain tomorrow".

There is a reason that both the frequentist and the Bayesian approaches exist.