atroche comments on [Link] Bet Your Friends to Be More Right - Less Wrong

8 Post author: katydee 08 November 2013 09:12PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 10 November 2013 05:24:51PM *  7 points [-]

Overall, I am for betting because I am against bullshit. Bullshit is polluting our discourse and drowning the facts. A bet costs the bullshitter more than the non-bullshitter so the willingness to bet signals honest belief. A bet is a tax on bullshit; and it is a just tax, tribute paid by the bullshitters to those with genuine knowledge.

— Alex Tabarrok, “A Bet is a Tax on Bullshit

I often challenge friends to a bet when our predictions differ, but they almost never take it up. They say they're “not gamblers”.