Jiro comments on Stranger Than History - Less Wrong

52 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 01 September 2007 06:57PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (329)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: brazil84 25 March 2014 09:08:59AM 6 points [-]

people in 1901 had much lower levels of rationality than people from the 20th century.

Do you have any examples of this which do not rely on measuring peoples' rationality by the extent they agree with modern progressive political views?

Comment author: Jiro 29 March 2014 04:55:17PM 5 points [-]

That's a tricky question because modern progressive political views are opposed to religion. And religion is a large source of irrationality. So most examples are going to happen to match modern progressive political views just because of that, even though they're not measured by their agreement with modern progressive political views.

The first example that comes to mind is a decline in anti-Semitism. Anti-Semitism 1) is irrational and 2) because of left-wing opposition to Israel and the West and support of third world Arab states, is not necessarily reduced by modern progressive political views.

Comment author: VAuroch 29 March 2014 07:00:12PM 3 points [-]

2) because of left-wing opposition to Israel and the West and support of third world Arab states,

This might be a good example in Europe, but both sides of mainstream US politics support Israel over its neighbors, fairly heavily. The fringes don't (on both ends), but the main body of political discourse does, and that takes away the support for your claim.

Comment author: Jiro 29 March 2014 07:07:06PM 0 points [-]

No, it still counts. If both groups support it, it still isn't specific to progressive political views.

Comment author: VAuroch 29 March 2014 11:47:50PM *  3 points [-]

The Overton Window is far more progressive than it was a century ago and that makes anti-Semitism socially unacceptable.

Also, that we no longer treat Jews as the Evil Outsiders and have replaced them with Muslims, does not speak well for the rationality of our society. A century ago we were, as a society, racist against Italians. Now we aren't; instead we're racist against Latinos, for substantially the same reasons. Neither of those looks like an improvement from where I'm standing.

Comment author: brazil84 29 March 2014 07:26:59PM 1 point [-]

That's a tricky question because modern progressive political views are opposed to religion

I'm not sure if that's correct, depending of course on how you define "religion" and "opposed."

The first example that comes to mind is a decline in anti-Semitism. Anti-Semitism 1) is irrational and 2) because of left-wing opposition to Israel and the West and support of third world Arab states, is not necessarily reduced by modern progressive political views.

Let me ask you this: If you meet a person who tells you that he hates Jewish people and nothing more (and you believe him), would you guess that, generally speaking he is in agreement or disagreement with modern progressive political views?

Comment author: Jiro 29 March 2014 09:16:17PM 3 points [-]

That combines the questions of "are they anti-Semitic" and "if they are anti-Semitic, how would they phrase it". A right-wing anti-Semite is more likely to phrase it that way than a progressive one, even if they are both anti-Semites.

Comment author: brazil84 29 March 2014 09:21:26PM *  -1 points [-]

A right-wing anti-Semite is more likely to phrase it that way than a progressive one,

Well how would a progressive anti-Semite tell people he hates Jews?

Comment author: [deleted] 29 March 2014 10:26:10PM 3 points [-]

He'll say something along the lines of: "The Zionist lobby makes Congress send aid to Israel." If he wants to be really obvious about it, he'll endorse Gilead Atzmon.

Comment author: brazil84 29 March 2014 10:48:39PM *  1 point [-]

[ . . . ]

By the way, I don't engage with eli_sennesh due to his past dishonesty.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 March 2014 08:04:11AM 1 point [-]

What?

Comment author: brazil84 30 March 2014 09:39:02AM 5 points [-]

What?

:shrug: I had an exchange a while back with eli_sennesh in which he misrepresented my position, i.e. attacked a strawman, and did not retract it when I called him on it. I have a personal rule of not engaging with such posters as such tactics are both annoying and a complete waste of time. There is little chance of learning from someone who doesn't respond to what you actually say but instead pretends you said something unreasonable so that he can attack it and pretend that he has defeated you in battle, so to speak.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 March 2014 08:54:40AM *  2 points [-]

Sorry, what? I wasn't aware we were holy-warring. By the way, I'm not voting on anything you've said.

Comment author: brazil84 03 April 2014 07:58:57AM 2 points [-]

Since you choose not to tell me how a progressive anti-Semite would tell people he hates Jews, I assume you have no good answer for that question. The most charitable interpretation I can think of of your point is that a right-wing anti-Semite is more likely to be open about his hatred of Jewish people; that a left-wing anti-Semite is more likely to express his hatred of Jews through the three D's: delegitimization of Israel; double-standards for Israel; and demonization of Israel. He might not even be fully consciously aware that he hates Jewish people and is likely to deny it if asked. If he is asked why he criticizes Israel for some isolated misdemeanor while ignoring other countries which systematically engage in felonies, so to speak, he will not have a good answer.

So where does that get you in terms of your original point that people are more rational now than in the past, and anti-Semitism is an example of this? Well certainly people in the West are less likely to express hatred for Jews or to organize pogroms. But your example of the left-wing anti-Semite shows that there is still a good deal of irrationality in play by your own standard. So again, it seems you are assessing rationality by measuring conformance with modern progressive political views

For reasons I have expressed elsewhere, I think this is a bad idea.

Comment author: Jiro 03 April 2014 06:02:46PM -2 points [-]

But your example of the left-wing anti-Semite shows that there is still a good deal of irrationality in play by your own standard. So again, it seems you are assessing rationality by measuring conformance with modern progressive political views

What in the world are you talking about? You are aware, I hope, that "progressive" is a euphemism for "left-wing"? The example of left-wing anti-Semitism shows that a reduction in anti-Semitism is not in conformance with modern progressive political views.

Comment author: brazil84 03 April 2014 07:08:11PM 0 points [-]

What in the world are you talking about? You are aware, I hope, that "progressive" is a euphemism for "left-wing"?

Yes.

The example of left-wing anti-Semitism shows that a reduction in anti-Semitism is not in conformance with modern progressive political views.

Well how do you know there has been a reduction in anti-Semitism? You seem to agree that anti-Semitic progressives will generally not express their anti-Semitism by expressly stating they hate Jews or by engaging in pogroms. Instead they are more indirect about it.

Comment author: Jiro 03 April 2014 08:53:26PM *  0 points [-]

Well how do you know there has been a reduction in anti-Semitism?

You can observe that Jews have an easier time getting jobs in industries that used to discriminate against them, that Jews tend not to get lynched any more, etc.

Comment author: brazil84 03 April 2014 09:30:26PM 1 point [-]

You can observe that Jews have an easier time getting jobs in industries that used to discriminate against them, that Jews tend not to get lynched any more, etc.

That doesn't mean anything, since, by hypotheses, progressive anti-Semitism manifests itself in different ways.

Let me ask you this:

If someone is against policies which prohibit job discrimination on the basis of religion, would you guess that such a person generally subscribes to progressive viewpoints or not?

Comment author: Jiro 04 April 2014 12:12:32AM *  0 points [-]

That doesn't mean anything, since, by hypotheses, progressive anti-Semitism manifests itself in different ways.

By hypothesis, progressive anti-Semitism is verbalized in different ways. The things I described weren't verbal.

If someone is against policies which prohibit job discrimination on the basis of religion, would you guess that such a person generally subscribes to progressive viewpoints or not?

If someone loudly says "I am against policies which prohibit discrimination on the basis of religon" I would assume he subscribes to progressive viewpoints. Actually doing it would be pretty much neutral, at least in the context of Jews.

Comment author: [deleted] 06 April 2014 08:28:25AM 1 point [-]

If someone is against policies which prohibit job discrimination on the basis of religion, would you guess that such a person generally subscribes to progressive viewpoints or not?

Given the prevalence of what Scott Alexander calls object-level thinking, I'd guess people against banning discrimination on the basis of religion are less likely to be progressivist than the rest of population in regions where said discrimination is more commonly in favour of believers against atheists than vice versa, and more likely elsewhere.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 29 March 2014 07:52:10PM 2 points [-]

Another example is how a lot more people have realized that central planning doesn't work. An example where things have become less rational since the 1900's is the current irrational belief that race and gender don't correlate with anything significant.

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 29 March 2014 08:27:09PM 2 points [-]

...enough to stop treating people as individuals

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 29 March 2014 08:37:11PM 1 point [-]

Taboo "treating people as individuals".

Also, how would you count things like Affirmative Action and especially the Disparate Impact Doctrine?

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 29 March 2014 10:29:34PM *  6 points [-]

I would count them ss relevant to the US only.

Someone once told me that Obama must be dumber than GWB because he is black. That is what treating someone as an individual isn't.

Comment author: Protagoras 29 March 2014 10:40:55PM 2 points [-]

I admit that I encounter people who make a big deal of how edgy and contrarian they are for speaking out about innate differences in the face of the stifling politically correct consensus that race and sex don't matter at all. It's pretty amazing how they seem to be everywhere, given the supposedly universal consensus rejecting and supressing such edgy, contrarian views.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 29 March 2014 10:50:52PM 0 points [-]

I admit that I encounter people who make a big deal of how edgy and contrarian they are for speaking out about innate differences in the face of the stifling politically correct consensus that race and sex don't matter at all. It's pretty amazing how they seem to be everywhere, given the supposedly universal consensus rejecting and supressing such edgy, contrarian views.

Have you seen any of these people on mainstream fora? The reason these people seem so common is that you're per-filtering your internet browsing to sites that strongly value truth.

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 29 March 2014 11:46:10PM -1 points [-]

OTOH the stifling consensus isn't stifling teh Webz

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 30 March 2014 03:20:05AM 3 points [-]

Depends on which website you're talking about.

Comment author: Protagoras 30 March 2014 12:33:32AM 3 points [-]

As far as I can tell, the far left position on sex is that most of the stereotypical sex differences are exaggerated, and most of the genuine differences are more the result of socialization rather than biology. I don't encounter anyone who goes further than that; I've never encountered anyone who would replace either "most" with an "all," or who would replace the "more" with an "entirely," in the case of sex, and I encounter a lot of people who are pretty far left (being fairly far left myself these days). The situation with race is a little different; some people would replace the second "most" with an "all," and the second "more" with an "entirely." But then, the evidence is also different with respect to race. People who think there's just no difference at all in the case of sex I only encounter as straw characters in conservative rants.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 30 March 2014 03:56:34AM -1 points [-]

As far as I can tell, the far left position on sex is that most of the stereotypical sex differences are exaggerated, and most of the genuine differences are more the result of socialization rather than biology.

And anyone who suggests they might be caused by biology is an EVIL SEXIST who must be suppressed.

I don't encounter anyone who goes further than that; I've never encountered anyone who would replace either "most" with an "all," or who would replace the "more" with an "entirely," in the case of sex, and I encounter a lot of people who are pretty far left (being fairly far left myself these days).

True, in the sense that I don't think any leftists are insane enough to claim that differences in genitals and breasts are the result of socialization, but then again I don't hang out with the SJ crowd.

Comment author: EHeller 30 March 2014 04:27:58AM 1 point [-]

Have you seen any of these people on mainstream fora? The reason these people seem so common is that you're per-filtering your internet browsing to sites that strongly value truth.

I see these people in my everyday life all the time. I think that the edge internet contrarians don't realize their views are held as common sense by fairly large sections of the population.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 30 March 2014 04:40:05AM 2 points [-]

Oh, I'm sure a lot of people (or at least their system I's) have noticed the forbidden facts we describe (in part because some of them are blinkingly obvious unless one is actively trying not to see them), whether they're willing to say them anywhere semi-public is another issue.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 March 2014 08:24:43PM 2 points [-]

I suspect there are many fewer such people in places where said edge internet contrarians live (e.g. New England or the Bay Area) than elsewhere.

(I've never been to New England nor to the Bay Area, so take this with a huge grain of salt.)

Comment author: [deleted] 30 March 2014 07:56:39AM -1 points [-]

Have you seen any of these people on mainstream fora?

I see quite a lot of them on Facebook, some of whom are outraged by some ‘news’ on Italian analogues of The Onion without even realizing they're satire so they hardly “strongly value truth”.

Comment author: ChristianKl 30 March 2014 02:12:27PM 3 points [-]

The public controversy about James Watson remarks on African intelligence happened fairly recently. To me that controversy indicates that the ideas are at least a bit edgy.

Comment author: brazil84 30 March 2014 04:42:41PM 3 points [-]

I admit that I encounter people who make a big deal of how edgy and contrarian they are for speaking out about innate differences in the face of the stifling politically correct consensus that race and sex don't matter at all. It's pretty amazing how they seem to be everywhere, given the supposedly universal consensus rejecting and supressing such edgy, contrarian views.

When you say "encounter," are you talking about internet postings? Private conversations in real life? Television commentators? Newspaper op-ed pieces?

Comment author: Protagoras 30 March 2014 07:15:47PM 1 point [-]

Mostly the first two. I don't watch much TV news or read many newspapers any more.

Comment author: brazil84 30 March 2014 08:10:49PM 2 points [-]

Mostly the first two. I don't watch much TV news or read many newspapers any more.

Would you mind linking to a couple of these internet postings so I can get a better handle on what you are saying? TIA.

Comment author: brazil84 03 April 2014 07:47:09AM 0 points [-]

Since you haven't provided examples of your observations, I will add that I suspect you are subconsciously exaggerating your case quite a bit. But I'm happy to look.

Comment author: Lumifer 31 March 2014 04:16:10PM 2 points [-]

It's pretty amazing how they seem to be everywhere

Really? Does that "everywhere" includes managerial positions in companies and various institutions? Are these people responsible for hiring anyone, by any chance?

Or let's even put it this way. Given the current legal and political climate and the habits of EEOC, do you think it's a good idea for a company to promote to a position of responsibility someone who publicly asserts that sex and race differences are significant?