Someone once told me that Obama must be dumber than GWB because he is black. That is what treating someone as an individual isn't.
It is, however, proper application of Bayesian evidence.
No it's not dude. Confounders are really important. If you don't adjust for them your inferences are going to be crap.
Suppose I told you that I knew for a fact that the following statements were true:
You’d think I was crazy, right?
Now suppose it were the year 1901, and you had to choose between believing those statements I have just offered, and believing statements like the following:
Based on a comment of Robin Hanson’s: “I wonder if one could describe in enough detail a fictional story of an alternative reality, a reality that our ancestors could not distinguish from the truth, in order to make it very clear how surprising the truth turned out to be.”1
1Source: http://lesswrong.com/lw/j0/making_history_available/ewg.