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Nornagest comments on Stranger Than History - Less Wrong
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When people talk about predictors of success in college, they're usually talking about how well they predict completion of a four-year degree and/or college GPA. The first non-paywalled source I've found is this one, though I haven't read it closely enough to vouch for its quality.
(Note that I'm agnostic on the object-level question here; this is not intended to be an endorsement.)
Yes, but we are not talking about that. We are talking about "measures of talent" which, even given the fuzziness of the term, is clearly not limited to college GPA.
Two people in this thread has asserted that the usual measures (which I understand to be IQ proxies like the SAT and the high school GPA) are "poor" or "horrible". I asked for better measures of talent and so far got pretty much nothing.