linkhyrule5 comments on 2013 Less Wrong Census/Survey - Less Wrong
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Comments (616)
No, I don't read instructions and am going to ruin the survey results for everyone.
snicker
Also, wow, the population of Europe is wildly lower than I thought it was, it's outside my 90% range...
Random math: one way of deciding whether or not to cooperate in the reward question is plot reward versus percentage-UDT-users in the LW community (under the assumption that everyone in that set will do the same thing you do, and everyone else splits 50-50). If that percentage is larger than about 65% (which I'm 70% sure it is), cooperating is superior to defection, but defection actually has the higher maximum expected value - if the entire community chooses randomly, anyway.
...
blink blink
Aw, darn it, I should've flipped a coin...
Edit: No, wait, nevermind, that would halve my expected reward.