pallas comments on Chocolate Ice Cream After All? - Less Wrong
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I am just saying, fix CDT, not EDT. I claim EDT is irrepairably broken on far less exotic problems than Parfit's hitchhiker. Problems like "should I give drugs to patients based on the results of this observational study?" The reason I think this is I can construct arbitrarily complicated causal graphs where getting the right answer entails having a procedure that is "causal inference"-complete, and I don't think anyone who uses EDT is anywhere near there (and if they are .. they are just reinventing CDT with a different language, which seems silly).
I am not strawmanning EDT, I am happy to be proven wrong by any EDT adherent and update accordingly (hence my challenge). For example, I spent some time with Paul Christiano et al back at the workshop trying to get a satisfactory answer out of EDT, and we didn't really succeed (although to be fair, that was a tangent to the main thrust of that workshop, so we didn't really spend too much time on this).
My comment above strongly called into question whether CDT gives the right answers. Therefore I wouldn't try to reinvent CDT with a different language. For instance, in the post I suggest that we should care about "all" the outcomes, not only the one happening in the future. I've first read about this idea in Paul Almond's paper on decision theory. An excerpt that might be of interest:
This quote seems to be endorsing the Mind Projection Fallacy; learning about the past doesn't seem to me to be the same thing as determining it...
It goes the other way round. An excerpt of my post (section Newcomb's Problem's problem of free will):