dhoe comments on [Link] Good Judgment Project, Season Three - Less Wrong

5 Post author: peter_hurford 02 December 2013 07:51PM

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Comment author: dhoe 03 December 2013 11:30:51AM 4 points [-]

I started partecipating, but got turned off by the ridicolously detailed questions outside my area of expertise. Do I think a sack of rice will fall over when the Ethiopian delegation visits Ecuador in March? How sure am I about my prediction? It doesn't seem to help me to achieve better calibration. I'm curious if people that are partecipating are getting value out of it, and what kind of value.

Comment author: jkaufman 03 December 2013 03:47:46PM 3 points [-]

I also stopped participating (partway through season 1) because the questions weren't the sort of thing I was interested in.

Comment author: XFrequentist 03 December 2013 04:59:31PM *  2 points [-]

Same story for me this season. Check out SciCast, I have much higher hopes.