PhilosophyTutor comments on Siren worlds and the perils of over-optimised search - Less Wrong

27 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 07 April 2014 11:00AM

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Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 29 April 2014 11:29:33AM 3 points [-]

Precisely and exactly! That's the whole of the problem - optimising for one thing (appearance) results in the loss of other things we value.

This just isn't always so. If you instruct an AI to optimise a car for speed, efficiency and durability but forget to specify that it has to be aerodynamic, you aren't going to get a car shaped like a brick. You can't optimise for speed and efficiency without optimising for aerodynamics too. In the same way it seems highly unlikely to me that you could optimise a society for freedom, education, just distribution of wealth, sexual equality and so on without creating something pretty close to optimal in terms of unwanted pregnancies, crime and other important axes.

Even if it's possible to do this, it seems like something which would require extra work and resources to achieve. A magical genie AI might be able to make you a super-efficient brick-shaped car by using Sufficiently Advanced Technology indistinguishable from magic but even for that genie it would have to be more work than making an equally optimal car by the defined parameters that wasn't a silly shape. In the same way an effectively God-like hypothetical AI might be able to make a siren world that optimised for everything except crime and create a world perfect in every way except that it was rife with crime but it seems like it would be more work, not less.

Next challenge: define liberty in code. This seems extraordinarily difficult.

I think if we can assume we have solved the strong AI problem, we can assume we have solved the much lesser problem of explaining liberty to an AI.

So we do agree that there are problem with an all-powerful genie?

We've got a problem with your assumptions about all-powerful genies, I think, because I think your argument relies on the genie being so ultimately all-powerful that it is exactly as easy for the genie to make an optimal brick-shaped car or an optimal car made out of tissue paper and post-it notes as it is for the genie to make an optimal proper car. I don't think that genie can exist in any remotely plausible universe.

If it's not all-powerful to that extreme then it's still going to be easier for the genie to make a society optimised (or close to it) across all the important axes at once than one optimised across all the ones we think to specify while tanking all the rest. So for any reasonable genie I still think market worlds don't make sense as a concept. Siren worlds, sure. Market worlds, not so much, because the things we value are deeply interconnected and you can't just arbitrarily dump-stat some while efficiently optimising all the rest.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 29 April 2014 12:07:41PM 0 points [-]

I think if we can assume we have solved the strong AI problem, we can assume we have solved the much lesser problem of explaining liberty to an AI.

The strong AI problem is much easier to solve than the problem of motivating an AI to respect liberty. For instance, the first one can be brute forced (eg AIXItl with vast resources), the second one can't. Having the AI understand human concepts of liberty is pointless unless it's motivated to act on that understanding.

An excess of anthropomophisation is bad, but an analogy could be about creating new life (which humans can do) and motivating that new life to follow specific rules are requirements if they become powerful (which humans are pretty bad at at).

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 29 April 2014 09:40:30PM *  4 points [-]

The strong AI problem is much easier to solve than the problem of motivating an AI to respect liberty. For instance, the first one can be brute forced (eg AIXItl with vast resources), the second one can't.

I don't believe that strong AI is going to be as simple to brute force as a lot of LessWrongers believe, personally, but if you can brute force strong AI then you can just get it to run a neuron-by-neuron simulation of the brain of a reasonably intelligent first year philosophy student who understands the concept of liberty and tell the AI not to take actions which the simulated brain thinks offend against liberty.

That is assuming that in this hypothetical future scenario where we have a strong AI we are capable of programming that strong AI to do any one thing instead of another, but if we cannot do that then the entire discussion seems to me to be moot.

Comment author: Nornagest 29 April 2014 10:17:07PM 6 points [-]

then [...] run a neuron-by-neuron simulation of the brain of a reasonably intelligent first year philosophy student who understands the concept of liberty and tell the AI not to take actions which the simulated brain thinks offend against liberty.

I've met far too many first-year philosophy students to be comfortable with this program.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 30 April 2014 04:55:07AM 0 points [-]

tell the AI not to take actions which the simulated brain thinks offend against liberty.

How? "tell", "the simulated brain thinks" "offend": defining those incredibly complicated concepts contains nearly the entirety of the problem.

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 30 April 2014 06:28:16AM 1 point [-]

I could be wrong but I believe that this argument relies on an inconsistent assumption, where we assume we have solved the problem of creating an infinitely powerful AI, but we have not solved the problem of operationally defining commonplace English words which hundreds of millions of people successfully understand in such a way that a computer can perform operations using them.

It seems to me that the strong AI problem is many orders of magnitude more difficult than the problem of rigorously defining terms like "liberty". I imagine that a relatively small part of the processing power of one human brain is all that is needed to perform operations on terms like "liberty" or "paternalism" and engage in meaningful use of them so it is a much, much smaller problem than the problem of creating even a single human-level AI, let alone a vastly superhuman AI.

If in our imaginary scenario we can't even define "liberty" in such a way that a computer can use the term, it doesn't seem very likely that we can build any kind of AI at all.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 30 April 2014 03:28:52PM *  0 points [-]

I could be wrong but I believe that this argument relies on an inconsistent assumption, where we assume we have solved the problem of creating an infinitely powerful AI, but we have not solved the problem of operationally defining commonplace English words which hundreds of millions of people successfully understand in such a way that a computer can perform operations using them.

Yes. Here's another brute force approach: upload a brain (without understanding it), run it very fast with simulated external memory, subject it to evolutionary pressure. All this can be done with little philosophical and conceptual understanding, and certainly without any understanding of something as complex as liberty.

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 01 May 2014 12:16:47AM *  1 point [-]

If you can do that, then you can just find someone who you think understands what we mean by "liberty" (ideally someone with a reasonable familiarity with Kant, Mill, Dworkin and other relevant writers), upload their brain without understanding it, and ask the uploaded brain to judge the matter.

(Off-topic: I suspect that you cannot actually get a markedly superhuman AI that way, because the human brain could well be at or near a peak in the evolutionary landscape so that there is no evolutionary pathway from a current human brain to a vastly superhuman brain. Nothing I am aware of in the laws of physics or biology says that there must be any such pathway, and since evolution is purposeless it would be an amazing lucky break if it turned out that we were on the slope of the highest peak there is, and that the peak extends to God-like heights. That would be like if we put evolutionary pressure on a cheetah and discovered that if we do that we can evolve a cheetah that runs at a significant fraction of c.

However I believe my argument still works even if I accept for the sake of argument that we are on such a peak in the evolutionary landscape, and that creating God-like AI is just a matter of running a simulated human brain under evolutionary pressure for a few billion simulated years. If we have that capability then we must also be able to run a simulated philosopher who knows what "liberty" refers to).

EDIT: Downvoting this without explaining why you disagree doesn't help me understand why you disagree.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 02 May 2014 01:49:28PM 0 points [-]

If we have that capability then we must also be able to run a simulated philosopher who knows what "liberty" refers to.

And would their understanding of liberty remain stable under evolutionary pressure? That seems unlikely.

EDIT: Downvoting this without explaining why you disagree doesn't help me understand why you disagree.

Have not been downvoting it.

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 02 May 2014 08:19:32PM 0 points [-]

I didn't think we needed to put the uploaded philosopher under billions of years of evolutionary pressure. We would put your hypothetical pre-God-like AI in one bin and update it under pressure until it becomes God-like, and then we upload the philosopher separately and use them as a consultant.

(As before I think that the evolutionary landscape is unlikely to allow a smooth upward path from modern primate to God-like AI, but I'm assuming such a path exists for the sake of the argument).

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 06 May 2014 11:56:49AM 1 point [-]

we upload the philosopher separately and use them as a consultant.

And then we have to ensure the AI follows the consultant (probably doable) and define what querying process is acceptable (very hard).

But your solution (which is close to Paul Christiano's) works whatever the AI is, we just need to be able to upload a human. My point was that we could conceivably create an AI without understanding any of the hard problems, still stands. If you want I can refine it: allow partial uploads: we can upload brains, but they don't function as stable humans, as we haven't mapped all the fine details we need to. However, we can use these imperfect uploads, plus a bit of evolution, to produce AIs. And here we have no understanding of how to control its motivations at all.

Comment author: [deleted] 01 May 2014 07:37:33AM -1 points [-]

My mind is throwing a type-error on reading your comment.

Liberty could well be like pornography: we know it when we see it, based on probabilistic classification. There might not actually be a formal definition of liberty that includes all actual humans' conceptions of such as special cases, but instead a broad range of classifier parameters defining the variation in where real human beings "draw the line".

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 01 May 2014 11:46:59AM 2 points [-]

The standard LW position (which I think is probably right) is that human brains can be modelled with Turing machines, and if that is so then a Turing machine can in theory do whatever it is we do when we decide that something ls liberty, or pornography.

There is a degree of fuzziness in these words to be sure, but the fact we are having this discussion at all means that we think we understand to some extent what the term means and that we value whatever it is that it refers to. Hence we must in theory be able to get a Turing machine to make the same distinction although it's of course beyond our current computer science or philosophy to do so.

Comment author: hairyfigment 30 April 2014 07:34:04AM -1 points [-]

While I don't know how much I believe the OP, remember that "liberty" is a hotly contested term. And that's without a superintelligence trying to create confusing cases. Are you really arguing that "a relatively small part of the processing power of one human brain" suffices to answer all questions that might arise in the future, well enough to rule out any superficially attractive dystopia?

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 30 April 2014 08:07:48AM 3 points [-]

I really am. I think a human brain could rule out superficially attractive dystopias and also do many, many other things as well. If you think you personally could distinguish between a utopia and a superficially attractive dystopia given enough relevant information (and logically you must think so, because you are using them as different terms) then it must be the case that a subset of your brain can perform that task, because it doesn't take the full capabilities of your brain to carry out that operation.

I think this subtopic is unproductive however, for reasons already stated. I don't think there is any possible world where we cannot achieve a tiny, partial solution to the strong AI problem (codifying "liberty", and similar terms) but we can achieve a full-blown, transcendentally superhuman AI. The first problem is trivial compared to the second. It's not a trivial problem, by any means, it's a very hard problem that I don't see being overcome in the next few decades, but it's trivial compared to the problem of strong AI which is in turn trivial compared to the problem of vastly superhuman AI. I think Stuart_Armstrong is swallowing a whale and then straining at a gnat.

Comment author: hairyfigment 30 April 2014 08:28:26AM -2 points [-]

No, this seems trivially false. No subset of my brain can reliably tell when an arbitrary Turing machine halts and when it doesn't, no matter how meaningful I consider the distinction to be. I don't know why you would say this.

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 30 April 2014 12:10:26PM *  2 points [-]

I'll try to lay out my reasoning in clear steps, and perhaps you will be able to tell me where we differ exactly.

  1. Hairyfigment is capable of reading Orwell's 1984, and Banks' Culture novels, and identifying that the people in the hypothetical 1984 world have less liberty than the people in the hypothetical Culture world.
  2. This task does not require the full capabilities of hairyfigment's brain, in fact it requires substantially less.
  3. A program that does A+B has to be more complicated than a program that does A alone, where A and B are two different, significant sets of problems to solve. (EDIT: If these programs are efficiently written)
  4. Given 1-3, a program that can emulate hairyfigment's liberty-distinguishing faculty can be much, much less complicated than a program that can do that plus everything else hairyfigment's brain can do.
  5. If we can simulate a complete human brain that is the same as having solved the strong AI problem.
  6. A program that can do everything hairyfigment's brain can do is a program that simulates a complete human brain.
  7. Given 4-6 it is much less complicated to emulate hairyfigment's liberty-distinguishing faculty than to solve the strong AI problem.
  8. Given 7, it is unreasonable to postulate a world where we have solved the strong AI problem, in spades, so much so we have a vastly superhuman AI, but we still haven't solved the hairyfigment's liberty-distinguishing faculty problem.
Comment author: CCC 30 April 2014 01:37:43PM *  0 points [-]

A program that does A+B has to be more complicated than a program that does A alone, where A and B are two different, significant sets of problems to solve.

Incorrect. I can write a horrendously complicated program to solve 1+1; and a far simpler program to add any two integers.

Admittedly, neither of those are particularly significant problems; nonetheless, unnecessary complexity can be added to any program intended to do A alone.

It would be true to say that the shortest possible program capable of solving A+B must be more complex than the shortest possible program to solve A alone, though, so this minor quibble does not affect your conclusion.

Given 4-6 it is much less complicated to emulate hairyfigment's liberty-distinguishing faculty than to solve the strong AI problem.

Granted.

Given 7, it is unreasonable to postulate a world where we have solved the strong AI problem, in spades, so much so we have a vastly superhuman AI, but we still haven't solved the hairyfigment's liberty-distinguishing faculty problem.

Why? Just because the problem is less complicated, does not mean it will be solved first. A more complicated problem can be solved before a less complicated problem, especially if there is more known about it.

Comment author: hairyfigment 30 April 2014 03:06:45PM -1 points [-]

..It's the hidden step where you move from examining two fictions, worlds created to be transparent to human examination, to assuming I have some general "liberty-distinguishing faculty".

Comment author: EHeller 30 April 2014 05:14:02AM 1 point [-]

How? "tell", "the simulated brain thinks" "offend": defining those incredibly complicated concepts contains nearly the entirety of the problem.

If you can simulate the whole brain, you can just simulate asking the brain the question "does this offend against liberty."

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 30 April 2014 03:26:13PM 0 points [-]

Under what circumstances? There are situations - torture, seduction, a particular way of asking the question - that can make any brain give any answer. Defining "non-coercive yet informative questioning" about a piece of software (a simulated brain) is... hard. AI hard, as some people phrase it.

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 30 April 2014 04:23:18PM *  2 points [-]

Why would that .be more of a problem for an AI than a human?

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 02 May 2014 01:38:54PM 0 points [-]

? The point is that having a simulated brain and saying "do what this brain approves of" does not make the AI safe, as defining the circumstance in which the approval is acceptable is a hard problem.

This is a problem for us controlling an AI, not a problem for the AI.

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 02 May 2014 03:27:26PM 0 points [-]

I still don't get it. We assume acceptability by default. We don't constantly stop and ask "Was that extracted under torture".

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 06 May 2014 11:47:11AM 0 points [-]

I do not understand your question. It was suggested that an AI run a simulated brain, and ask the brain for approval for doing its action. My point was that "ask the brain for approval" is a complicated thing to define, and puts no real limits on what the AI can do unless we define it properly.

Comment author: Neph 15 June 2014 02:13:42PM *  0 points [-]
def checkMorals():
>[simulate philosophy student's brain]
>if [simulated brain's state is offended]:
>>return False
>else:
>>return True
if checkMorals():
>[keep doing AI stuff]

there. that's how we tell an AI capable of being an AI and capable of simulating a brain to not to take actions which the simulated brain thinks offend against liberty, as implemented in python.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 16 June 2014 10:29:52AM 0 points [-]

oh, it's so clear and obvious now, how could I have missed that?

Comment author: [deleted] 01 May 2014 07:44:42AM -2 points [-]

That is assuming that we are capable of programming a strong AI to do any one thing instead of another, but if we cannot do that then the entire discussion seems to me to be moot.

And therein lies the rub. Current research-grade AGI formalisms don't actually allow us to specifically program the agent for anything, not even paperclips.

Comment author: PhilosophyTutor 01 May 2014 11:49:29AM 0 points [-]

If I was unclear, I was intending that remark to apply to the original hypothetical scenario where we do have a strong AI and are trying to use it to find a critical path to a highly optimal world. In the real world we obviously have no such capability. I will edit my earlier remark for clarity.

Comment author: Strange7 02 May 2014 03:10:43PM 0 points [-]

This just isn't always so. If you instruct an AI to optimise a car for speed, efficiency and durability but forget to specify that it has to be aerodynamic, you aren't going to get a car shaped like a brick. You can't optimise for speed and efficiency without optimising for aerodynamics too.

Unless you start by removing the air, in some way that doesn't count against the car's efficiency.