eli_sennesh comments on Siren worlds and the perils of over-optimised search - Less Wrong
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And therein lies the rub. Current research-grade AGI formalisms don't actually allow us to specifically program the agent for anything, not even paperclips.
If I was unclear, I was intending that remark to apply to the original hypothetical scenario where we do have a strong AI and are trying to use it to find a critical path to a highly optimal world. In the real world we obviously have no such capability. I will edit my earlier remark for clarity.