pengvado comments on Walkthrough of "Definability of Truth in Probabilistic Logic" - Less Wrong
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I'm confused by a couple minor points here, also:
The paper asks for a "probability distribution over models of L". In fact, for many languages L, models of L form a proper class. Does this cause measure-theoretic difficulties? It seems like this might force mu to be zero on all sufficiently large models (otherwise you can do some sort of transfinite induction to get sets of unbounded measure) but I'm not very good at crazy set theory stuff.
At one point the authors state "We would like P(forall phi in L' <blah>)". I thought we were in a first-order language and therefore couldn't quantify over propositions?
It's not immediately clear to me that this actually constructs a measure on the set of theories: that is, if S is the set of all complete consistent theories, it's not clear to me that for the mu we construct by martingale, mu(S) = 1 (or even that mu(S) != 0). Mightn't additivity break when we take the limit and get a whole theory rather than just an incomplete bag of axioms?
Yes, though we should just call it a "probability distribution over complete consistent theories" in that case (it's exactly the same).