NancyLebovitz comments on Luck II: Expecting White Swans - Less Wrong

6 Post author: fowlertm 15 December 2013 05:40PM

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Comment author: NancyLebovitz 16 December 2013 07:22:37PM 1 point [-]

I think "lucky" is fair-- Wiseman was talking about getting what look like implausibly good outcomes.

Comment author: Lumifer 16 December 2013 07:28:33PM *  0 points [-]

My problems with the word "lucky" are that it mostly references things that happen to you instead of things you do. And, as a consequence, it implies lack of effort or the need to work on things.

Comment author: ialdabaoth 16 December 2013 07:32:11PM 0 points [-]

nod although in a certain sense, that's actually accurate - "lucky", in Wiseman's sense, is about behaviors that naturally improve outcomes without any conscious effort to maintain those behaviors. The statement "luck can be taught and trained" breaks into "there are behaviors which naturally improve outcomes without any conscious effort to maintain those behaviors, but if you are not currently in that self-reinforcing feedback loop, it will take conscious effort to break out of whichever attractor you're currently orbiting and start moving into that attractor's control locus instead."