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hyporational comments on Luck II: Expecting White Swans - Less Wrong
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Comments (86)
Well, he seems to denote predictability with the colours, which was the point. Making white swans indicate rare good events makes no sense. The Wikipedia page suggests he uses the term black swan also for good events.
"Isn't it taken directly from Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan"
Right.
"Making white swans indicate rare good events makes no sense."
Actually, you could be right, but that's how I'm using it. I don't have my copies of Taleb's books in front of me, but I'm pretty sure he uses the terms the way I'm using them.
Did you check out the article Lumifer linked to? Perhaps Nassim changed his mind.